Anticipating the Future of War: AI, Automated Systems, and Resort-to-Force Decision Making


This two-year research project (February 2023 – February 2025) is generously funded by an Australian Department of Defence Strategic Policy Grant.

Chief Investigator: Prof. Toni Erskine, Professor of International Politics & Director of the Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs, Australian National University (ANU)



The use of artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and automated systems has already changed the nature of the battlefield. The further diffusion of AI-enabled systems into states’ resort-to-force decision making is unavoidable for Australia, its allies, and its adversaries. In the United States, for example, machine learning techniques are already used in some intelligence analyses, which, in turn, contribute to decisions of whether and when to use force. While this contribution is currently limited and indirect, trends in other realms suggest that the use of AI-driven systems will increase in this high-stakes area. Separately, there is potential for AI-enabled automated systems to initiate escalatory defensive action in contexts such as the cyber realm. If we begin to consider the possible future effects of using these technologies in resort-to-force decision-making processes now, we can develop policy to guide their development and use, promote necessary education and training, and, ultimately, mitigate risks.

This two-year research project will have an important international collaborative dimension, which will include:

two International Workshops on AI, Automated Systems and Use-of-Force Decision Making, to be co-convened by Professor Steven E. Miller (Belfer Center, Harvard University) and Professor Toni Erskine (ANU) and held at the Australian National University (ANU) in Canberra, Australia in June/July 2023 and June/July 2024;


• a Policy Roundtable, also to be held at the ANU in Canberra in June/July 2024.

(Chancelry, ANU)

Leading scholars and practitioners working in international security, strategic and defence studies, and machine intelligence will be invited to participate in these activities and explore the risks and opportunities of introducing AI, machine learning, and automated systems into state-level use-of-force decision making.

In addition to producing a series of published outputs, the project will be supplemented by an ‘AI, Decision Making, and the Future of War’ Seminar Series and Public Lecture Series.

(Hedley Bull Building, Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs, ANU)

Upcoming Seminar Series and Public Lecture Series Events to be announced soon.

Research Focus

This research project will directly address the Australian Department of Defence’s 2022 ‘Priority Policy Topic’ on emerging and disruptive technologies. It is also relevant to its Priority Policy Topics on expanding capabilities in cyber and challenges to global rules, norms and institutions.

Specifically, it will analyse emerging and disruptive technologies in the form of AI-enabled systems used both to inform decision making on the use of force and, in some contexts – such as defence against cyberattacks – to make and directly implement decisions on the use of force. In the former case, human decision makers draw on algorithmic recommendations and predictions to reach use-of-force decisions; in the latter case, decisions are reached with or without human oversight. Both entail future-focused, but foreseeable, developments, which challenge existing rules and norms surrounding the use of force – and warrant immediate consideration in defence policy.

Machine learning techniques enhance our decision-making capacities by analysing huge quantities of data quickly, predicting outcomes, calculating opportunities and risks, and uncovering patterns of correlation in datasets that are beyond human cognition. The potential benefits of using AI-enabled systems are clear in scenarios where predictive analyses of key strategic variables – such as anticipated threat, risk of inaction, proportionality of a potential response, and mission cost – are fundamental.

Yet there are also complications that would accompany reliance on these systems. It is imperative to determine their implications for Australia’s future defence and security environment. This project will focus on the following:

Complication 1:

When programmed to calculate – or automatically implement – a response to a particular set of circumstances, intelligent machines will behave differently than human agents.

This difference complicates understandings of deterrence. Current perceptions of a state’s willingness to use force in response to aggression are based on assumptions of human judgement (and forbearance) rather than automated calculations. The use of automated systems – which would make and implement decisions at speeds impossible for human actors – could result in unintended escalations in the use of force.

Complication 2:

Empirical studies show that individuals and teams relying on AI-driven systems often experience ‘automation bias’ – the tendency to accept without question computer-generated outputs. This tendency can make human decision-makers less likely to use their own expertise and judgment to test the machine-generated recommendations.

Unintended consequences include acceptance of error, the de-skilling of human actors, and decreased compliance with international rules and norms of restraint in the use of force.

Complication 3:

Machine learning processes are frequently opaque and unpredictable. Those who are guided by them often do not understand how predictions and recommendations are reached, and do not grasp their limitations. The current lack of transparency in much AI-driven decision making – ‘algorithmic opacity’ – has led to negative consequences across a range of contexts.

As governments’ democratic – and international – legitimacy requires compelling and accessible justifications for decisions to use force, algorithmic opacity poses grave concerns.

Complication 4:

Studies in both International Relations (IR) and organisational theory reveal the existing complexities and pathologies of organisational decision making. AI-driven decision-support and automated systems intervening in these complex structures risks exacerbating these problems.

Without carefully developed guidelines, AI-enabled systems at the national level could distort and disrupt strategic and operational decision-making processes and chains of command.

These complications – and their potential implications for Australia’s defence policy – warrant serious attention. This project will bring together new voices and diverse perspectives – in the form of an international group of practitioners and multidisciplinary, world-leading scholars – to contribute to a comprehensive study of the risks and opportunities of introducing AI-enabled systems to state-level decisions to engage in war across these four thematic areas.

This project will initiate a much-needed, research-led discussion on the effects of AI-enabled systems in use-of-force decision making. It also seeks to significantly extend the public Australian strategic policy debate on the impacts of disruptive and emerging technologies.

News & Past Events

6 March 2023, University of South Australia

Project CI Toni Erskine delivered the Keynote Address at the Chancellor’s International Women’s Day Lunch, University of South Australia, on ‘AI and the Risk of Misplaced Responsibility in War’. She addressed the risks that accompany our propensity to attribute to intelligent artefacts – including AI-enabled weapons and decision-support systems – capacities that they do not have and assume that they are able to bear moral responsibilities of restraint in war.


Professor Toni Erskine, Chief Investigator and Workshop Co-Convenor

Professor Toni Erskine

Toni Erskine is Director of the Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs and Professor of International Politics at The Australian National University (ANU). She is also Editor of the journal _International Theory: A Journal of International Politics, Law, and Philosophy_ and Associate Fellow of the Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence at Cambridge University. She currently serves as Academic Lead for the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific/APRU ‘AI for the Social Good’ Research Project and in this capacity works closely with government departments in Thailand and Bangladesh. She is also a Chief Investigator and Founding Member of the ANU ‘Humanising Machine Intelligence’ Grand Challenge Research Project. Her research interests include the moral agency and responsibility of formal organisations in world politics; the ethics of war; the responsibility to protect (R2P); joint purposive action and informal coalitions; and the impact of new technologies on organised violence.

Professor Steven E. Miller, Workshop Co-Convenor

Professor Steven E. Miller

Steven E. Miller is Director of the International Security Program at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the Kennedy School, Harvard University. He is Editor-in-Chief of the quarterly journal, _International Security_, and also co-editor of the International Security Program's book series, Belfer Center Studies in International Security (published by the MIT Press). Previously, he was Senior Research Fellow at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) and taught Defense and Arms Control Studies in the Department of Political Science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He is editor or co-editor of more than two dozen books, including, most recently, _The Next Great War? The Roots of World War I and the Risk of U.S.-China Conflict_. Professor Miller is a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, where he is a member of their Committee on International Security Studies (CISS). He currently leads the Academy’s project on Promoting Dialogue on Arms Control and Disarmament. He is also co-chair of the U.S. Pugwash Committee and a member of the Council of International Pugwash.

Emily Hitchman, Project Research Officer

Emily Hitchman

Emily Hitchman is the Research Officer on the _AI, Automated Systems, and Future Use-of-Force Decision Making: Anticipating Effects_ project. Emily is a PhD scholar at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre focussing on the history of the Glomar (‘neither confirm nor deny’) response in the national security context. She is also a 2023 Sir Roland Wilson Scholar, and has appeared on the National Security Podcast speaking about her research, and as a panellist at the 2022 Australian Crisis Simulation Summit speaking about the future of intelligence. Emily has worked professionally across the national security and criminal justice public policy space, including in law enforcement and cyber policy, and holds a Bachelor of Philosophy from The Australian National University.

Dr Bianca Baggiarini, Project Participant

Dr Bianca Baggiarini

Bianca Baggiarini is a political sociologist and Lecturer in military and war studies at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre at the Australian National University (ANU). Her research and teaching are aimed at applying sociological theories and methods to the study of war. Bianca’s current research is on the sociopolitical and ethical impacts of autonomy and AI-enabled technologies in military and security contexts. She is examining the role of trust discourse in shaping debates about ethical military AI (arguing that machine learning algorithms naturally agitate rules- and standards-based orders, thereby challenging the possibility of trust), the changing status of soldiers’ labour in response to increasing autonomy, and the social meaning of technology demonstrations as it relates to communicating the ethical and legal potential of AI-enabled systems. Her forthcoming monograph, Governing Military Sacrifice, is one of the first books to connect the rise of drones and combat unmanning with military and security privatization and includes original interview data from both drone advocates and critics alike. Bianca holds a PhD (2018) from York University in Toronto, an MA in sociology from Simon Fraser University, and a BA in political science from Simon Fraser University. From 2019 to 2021, she was a Researcher at UNSW at the Australian Defence Force Academy.

Dr Justin K. Canfil, Project Participant

Justin K. CanfilJustin K. Canfil

Justin K. Canfil is a postdoctoral fellow at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the Harvard Kennedy School, a nonresident scholar with Princeton University's Center on Contemporary China, and an incoming Assistant Professor of International Relations and Emerging Technologies at Carnegie Mellon University. From 2024-2025, he will take leave to complete a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellowship at the Council on Foreign Relations. Dr. Canfil's research interests concern the impact of emerging technologies on international law and arms control, both past and present. His research has appeared in outlets such as the Journal of Cybersecurity and the Oxford Handbook on AI Governance. He received a Fulbright Scholarship to conduct doctoral research in China and a PhD in Political Science from Columbia University. He can be reached at []( or on Twitter @jcanfil.

Maurice Chiodo, Project Participant

Maurice Chiodo

Maurice Chiodo is a research associate in the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk at the University of Cambridge. He is the co-founder and principal investigator of the Ethics in Mathematics Project, where his work addresses the ethical challenges and risks posed by mathematics, mathematicians, and mathematically-powered technologies. His research looks at the ethical issues arising in all types of mathematical work, including AI, blockchain, finance, modelling, surveillance, cryptography, and statistics. He has been running a seminar series on ethics in mathematics for the past 7 years as part of the Cambridge University Ethics in Mathematics Society, and sat on the ethics advisory group of Machine Intelligence Garage UK for 3 years. He is about to release "A short guide to responsible mathematical work", and is currently writing a monograph "Ethics for the working mathematician", both of which are the first works of their kind. Maurice comes from a background in research mathematics, holding two PhDs in mathematics from the University of Cambridge and the University of Melbourne on problems in algebra and computability theory. He has over 20 years experience studying, working, and teaching, in mathematics departments around the world.

Associate Professor Jenny L. Davis, Project Participant

Jnny L. Davis

Jenny L. Davis is an Associate Professor of Sociology at the Australian National University (ANU). Dr. Davis's work follows two broad and overlapping trajectories in social psychology and technology studies. She focuses on role-taking, status, stigma, and identity, along with technological affordances and the politics of digital design. Her work intersects technology studies and social psychology, with a current focus on AI and machine learning. She is Deputy Lead of the Humanising Machine Intelligence Program at the ANU, Co-Director of the ANU Role-Taking Lab, on the board for Theorizing the Web, Past Chair of the Communication, Information Technologies, and Media Sociology section of the American Sociological Association, and author of How Artifacts Afford: The Power and Politics of Everyday Things, published with MIT Press. 

Professor Ashley Deeks, Project Participant

Ashley Deeks

Ashley Deeks is the Class of 1948 Scholarly Research Professor at the University of Virginia Law School. Her primary research and teaching interests are in international law, national security, intelligence, and the application of new technologies to those fields. She writes about the use of force, executive power, secret treaties, and the intersection of national security and AI, and she is the co-author of a leading casebook on foreign relations law. She is an elected member of the American Law Institute, a member of the State Department’s Advisory Committee on International Law, and a contributing editor to the Lawfare blog. She recently served as Special Assistant to the President, Associate White House Counsel, and Deputy Legal Advisor to the U.S. National Security Council. Before joining UVA, she served for ten years in the U.S. State Department’s Office of the Legal Adviser, including as the embassy legal adviser at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad during Iraq’s constitutional negotiations. Professor Deeks received her J.D. with honors from the University of Chicago Law School, where she was elected to the Order of the Coif and served as an editor on the Law Review. After graduation, she clerked for Judge Edward R. Becker of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit.

Professor Marcus Holmes, Project Participant

Marcus Holmes

Marcus Holmes is Professor of Government at William & Mary. He is Associate Editor of The Hague Journal of Diplomacy and is co-editor of Palgrave’s Studies in Diplomacy and International Relations series. He is also co-director of the Social Science Research Methods Center and director of the Political Psychology and International Relations lab, both at William & Mary. He is Principal Investigator on a US Department of State grant exploring the effect of people-to-people exchanges in US-Japan relations through the lens of baseball diplomacy over the last 150 years. His research explores various aspect of diplomacy, including dynamics of interpersonal relationship in international politics. He is the author of Face-to-Face Diplomacy: Social Neuroscience in International Relations, an award-winning book with Cambridge University Press. Holmes also is co-editor, with Corneliu Bjola, of a seminal volume on the use of social media in achieving diplomatic ends, Digital Diplomacy: Theory and Practice, with Routledge. His latest book project, Personal Chemistry, is co-authored with Nicholas J. Wheeler and is under contract at Oxford University Press.

Professor Sarah Kreps, Project Participant

Professor Sarah Kreps

Sarah Kreps is the John L. Wetherill Professor of Government, Adjunct Professor of Law, and Director of the Tech Policy Institute at Cornell University. She is also a Non-Resident Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution and a life member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Her work lies at the intersection of technology, politics, and national security, and is the subject of five books and a range of publications published in academic journals such as the _New England Journal of Medicine, Science Advances, Vaccine, Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) Network Open, American Political Science Review,_ and _Journal of Cybersecurity,_ policy journals such as _Foreign Affairs_, and media outlets such as _CNN_, the _BBC_, _New York Times_, and _Washington Post_. She has a BA from Harvard University, MSc from Oxford, and PhD from Georgetown. Between 1999-2003, she served as an active duty officer in the United States Air Force.

Dr Sarah Logan, Project Participant

Sarah Logan

Sarah Logan is a lecturer in the Department of International Relations in the Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs at The Australian National University. She is a Chief Investigator at the University's “Humanising Machine Intelligence” Grand Challenge Research Project. Her research interests include the future of open source intelligence; the governance of international data transfers; the development of global privacy norms; and the geopolitics of global technology standards. Her work has been funded by the Annenberg School for Communication, the Australian government, and the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific/Association of Pacific Rim Universities. Her first book, _Hold Your Friends Close: Countering Radicalization in Britain and America_, was published by Oxford University Press in 2022.

Dr Osonde Osoba, Project Participant

Dr Osonde Osoba

Osonde Osoba, Ph.D. (oh-shOwn-day aw-shAw-bah) is a researcher working at the intersection of Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning and public policy. Dr Osoba's research weaves together two strands: the application of AI/ML to problems in public policy as well as the examination of the implications of reliance on automated decision systems. Recurring themes in his work include algorithmic equity, modelling for decision support, and modelling the behaviours of social agents. Dr Osoba is currently a senior AI engineer on Fairness at LinkedIn where he works on helping enable the platform’s use of AI/ML in a responsible and trustworthy manner. Prior to LinkedIn, Osoba was a senior information scientist at the RAND Corporation and a professor of public policy at the Pardee RAND Graduate School. His policy research portfolio at RAND focused on AI/ML applied to problems in social and economic well-being and national security. At the Pardee RAND Graduate School, Osoba was the Associate Director for Tech & Narrative Lab, helping to pioneer a novel program in training the next generation of effective and creative tech policy thought leaders. Dr Osoba earned his B.Sc. in Electrical and Computer Engineering from the University of Rochester and his Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering from USC.

Mick Ryan, Project Participant

Mick Ryan

Mick Ryan is a retired major general in the Australian Army, where he spent 35 years and had the honour of commanding soldiers at troop, squadron, regiment, task force and brigade levels. He has a long-standing interest in military history and strategy, advanced technologies, organizational innovation, and adaptation theory. He was inaugural President of the Defence Entrepreneurs Forum (Australia) and is a member of the Military Writers Guild. He is a keen author on the interface of military strategy, innovation, and advanced technologies, as well as how institutions can develop their intellectual edge. In February 2022, Mick retired from the Australia Army. In the same month, his book War Transformed was published by USNI Books. He is an adjunct fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington DC, and a non-resident fellow of the Lowy Institute in Sydney. In January 2023 Mick was also appointed as an Adjunct Professor at the University of Queensland in Brisbane, Australia.

Dr Mitja Sienknecht, Project Participant

Dr Mitja Sienknecht

Mitja Sienknecht is a postdoctoral researcher at the European New School of Digital Studies (European University Viadrina). Previously, she was an interim professor for European and International Politics at the EUV and a postdoctoral researcher at the WZB Berlin Social Science Center and the University of Münster and conducted research stays at Koç University (Turkey). Her paper on the debordering of intrastate conflicts based on her PhD received the best paper award in International Relations (IR) of the IR-section of the German Political Science Association. Her research interests include the (digital) transformation of violence and conflicts; border- and boundary studies; the responsibility of state and non-state actors in world politics; and inter- and intra-organizational decision-making in security contexts. Her work is situated at the intersection of IR, peace and conflict studies and science & technological studies (STS). In her current research, Mitja analyzes the impact of digitalization on armed conflicts and collaborates in developing and training an AI to identify argumentative structures in IR theories.

Dr Karina Vold, Project Participant

Karina Vold

Karina Vold is an Assistant Professor at the Institute for the History and Philosophy of Science and Technology at the University of Toronto. She is also a Research Lead at the U of T Schwartz Reisman Institute for Technology and Society, an AI2050 Early Career Fellow with the Schmidt Futures Foundation, a Faculty Associate at the U of T Centre for Ethics, and an Associate Fellow at the University of Cambridge’s Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence. Vold specialises in Philosophy of Cognitive Science and Philosophy of Artificial Intelligence, and her recent research has focused on human autonomy, cognitive enhancement, extended cognition, and the risks and ethics of AI.

Dr Benjamin Zala, Project Participant

Dr Benjamin Zala

Benjamin Zala is Fellow in the Department of International Relations, in the Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs at The Australian National University. His work focuses on the politics of the great powers and the management of nuclear weapons. His work has appeared in over a dozen different peer-reviewed journals such as Review of International Studies, Journal of Global Security Studies, Third World Quarterly and the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. His book Power in International Society: A Perceptual Approach to Great Power Politics is under contract with Oxford University Press and his edited volume, National Perspectives on a Multipolar Order, was published by Manchester University Press in 2021. He has been a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow in the Belfer Center for Science & International Affairs at Harvard University and has previously held positions in the UK at the Oxford Research Group, Chatham House, and the University of Leicester where he is also currently an Honorary Fellow working with the European Research Council-funded, Third Nuclear Age project (

Professor Nicholas J. Wheeler, Project Participant

Nicholas J. Wheeler

Nicholas J. Wheeler is Professor of International Relations in the Department of Political Science and International Studies and Institute for Conflict, Cooperation, and Security at the University of Birmingham (UoB). He is a non-resident Senior Fellow at BASIC (the London based NGO that works on international trust-building and nuclear diplomacy) where is he the academic lead on the BASIC-ICCS Nuclear Responsibilities Programme. His publications include (with Ken Booth) The Security Dilemma: Fear, Cooperation, and Trust in World Politics (Palgrave Macmillan, 2008); Saving Strangers: Humanitarian Intervention in International Society (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000); and Trusting Enemies: Interpersonal Relationships in International Conflict (Oxford University Press 2018). He is a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences in the United Kingdom, a Fellow of the Learned Society of Wales, and has had an entry in Who’s Who since 2011.

Professor Toni Erskine

Toni Erskine is Director of the Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs and Professor of International Politics at The Australian National University (ANU). She is also Editor of the journal...

Advisory Board

Professor Neta Crawford , Oxford University

Professor Neta

Neta Crawford is Montague Burton Chair in International Relations at Oxford University, where she also holds a Professorial Fellowship at Balliol College. Her research focuses on war, ethics, normative change, emotions in world politics, and climate change. She received the Distinguished Scholar award from the International Studies Association in 2018 and was a co-winner of the 2003 American Political Science Association Jervis and Schroeder Award for best book in International History and Politics for her book Argument and Change in World Politics: Ethics, Decolonization, Humanitarian Intervention (CUP, 2002). Professor Crawford’s most recent publication is The Pentagon, Climate Change, and War (MIT Press, 2022). She is also working on To Make Heaven Weep: Civilians and the American Way of War. She has also authored several other books including, Accountability for Killing: Moral Responsibility for Collateral Damage in America’s Post‑9/11 Wars (2013). She is a co-founder and co-director of the ‘Costs of War Project’, based at Brown University.

Professor Janina Dill, Oxford University

Janina Dill

Janina Dill is a Professor at the Department of Politics and International Relations (DPIR) of the University of Oxford. She is also a Fellow at Nuffield College and Co-Director of the Oxford Institute for Ethics, Law, and Armed Conflict (ELAC). Her research concerns the role of law and morality in international relations, specifically in war. She develops legal and philosophical theories about how international law can be an instrument of morality in war, albeit an imperfect one. She also studies how normative considerations shape public opinion on the use of force and the attitudes of conflict-affected populations. In 2021, she won a Philip Leverhulme Prize for work on the moral psychology of war. She currently co-convenes (with Scott Sagan) a research project on the "Law and Ethics of Nuclear Deterrence," which is part of the Research Network on Rethinking Nuclear Deterrence, funded by the MacArthur Foundation.

Professor Cian O'Driscoll, The Australian National University

Professor Cian O'Driscoll

Cian O’Driscoll is a Professor International Relations at the Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs, ANU. His principal area of research is the intersection between normative international relations theory and the history of political thought, with a particular focus on the ethics of war. His published work examines the development of the just war tradition over time and the role it plays in circumscribing contemporary debates about the rights and wrongs of warfare. These themes are reflected in his two monographs: Victory: The Triumph and Tragedy of Just War (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2019) and The Renegotiation of the Just War Tradition (New York: Palgrave, 2008). He has also co-edited three volumes and his work has been published in leading journals in the field, including International Studies Quarterly, the European Journal of International Relations, the Journal of Strategic Studies, the Journal of Global Security Studies, Review of International Studies, Ethics & International Affairs, and Millennium. Cian is a co-editor of the Review of International Studies.ory Board.

Professor John Dryzek, University of Canberra

John Dryzek

John Dryzek is Centenary Professor and former Australian Research Council Laureate Fellow in the Centre for Deliberative Democracy and Global Governance at the University of Canberra. Before moving to UC he was Distinguished Professor of Political Science and ARC Federation Fellow at the Australian National University. He is a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences in Australia and former editor of the Australian Journal of Political Science. Working in both political theory and empirical social science, he is best known for his contributions in the areas of democratic theory and practice and environmental politics. One of the instigators of the ‘deliberative turn’ in thinking about democracy, he has published eight books in this area with Oxford University Press, Cambridge University Press, and Polity Press. His work in environmental politics and climate governance has yielded seven books with Oxford University Press, Cambridge University Press, and Basil Blackwell. He has also worked on comparative studies of democratization, post-positivist public policy analysis, and the history and philosophy of social science. His current research emphasizes global justice, governance in the Anthropocene, and confronting contemporary challenges to democracy.

Professor Arisa Ema, University of Tokyo

Arisa Ema

Arisa Ema is an Associate Professor at the University of Tokyo and Visiting Researcher at RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project in Japan. She is a researcher in Science and Technology Studies (STS), and her primary interest is to investigate the benefits and risks of artificial intelligence (AI). She is a board member of the Japan Deep Learning Association (JDLA). She is also a member of the Council for Social Principles of Human-centric AI, The Cabinet Office, which released “Social Principles of Human-Centric AI” in 2019. Internationally, she is an expert member of the working group on the Future of Work, GPAI (Global Partnership on AI). She obtained a Ph.D. from the University of Tokyo and previously held a position as Assistant Professor at the Hakubi Center for Advanced Research, Kyoto University. She was named the University of Tokyo Excellent Young Researcher, 2021.

Professor Denise Garcia, Northeastern University

Denise Garcia

Denise Garcia is a Professor at Northeastern University and a founding faculty member of its Experiential Robotics Institute. She is formerly a member of the International Panel for the Regulation of Autonomous Weapons (2017-2022), currently of the Research Board of the Toda Peace Institute (Tokyo) and the Institute for Economics and Peace (Sydney), Vice-chair of the International Committee for Robot Arms Control, and member of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Global Initiative on Ethics of Autonomous and Intelligent Systems. She was the Nobel Peace Institute Fellow in Oslo in 2017. A multiple teaching award-winner, her recent publications appeared in Nature, Foreign Affairs, International Relations, and other top journals. Her upcoming book is Common Good Governance in the Age of Military Artificial Intelligence with Oxford University Press 2023.

Dr Francesca Giovannini, Harvard Kennedy School

Dr Francesca Giovannini

Francesca Giovannini is Executive Director of the Project on Managing the Atom at the Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science & International Affairs and Research Director of the Nuclear Deterrence Research Network funded by the MacArthur Foundation. She is also an Adjunct Professor at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, where she teaches a graduate seminar on the role of nuclear weapons in the 21st century and a core course on Technology, Public Policy, and National Security. She is the leading faculty of the Fletcher School Executive Education course on “Negotiating Technology Agreements in Emerging Markets: Developing Strategic capacities for accessing transformative technologies”. Dr Giovannini served as a Senior Strategy and Policy Officer to the Executive Secretary of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO). Before her international appointment, she served five years at the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in Boston as the Director of the Research Program on Global Security and International Affairs. With a Doctorate from the University of Oxford, Dr Giovannini began her career working for international organisations. She has published widely in Nature, the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, Arms Control Today, the National Interest, and The Washington Post, among others.

Professor Sylvie Thiébaux, The Australian National University

Sylvie Thiébaux

Sylvie Thiébaux is a Professor of Computer Science at The Australian National University (ANU) and a Directrice de Recherche at the University of Toulouse. Her research interests are in artificial intelligence, in particular automated planning, scheduling, diagnosis, and search, their integration with optimisation, machine learning, and verification, as well as their applications to energy and transport. Her recent work, which has received multiple academic and industry awards, focuses on handling constraints in planning under uncertainty, on integrating deep learning with search to solve planning problems, and on coordinating distributed energy resources to benefit their owners, the distribution grid, and energy markets. Sylvie is a fellow of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI) and a co-Editor in Chief of the Artificial Intelligence journal. She is a former Councilor of AAAI, co-Chair and President of the International Conference on Automated Planning and Scheduling (ICAPS), and Director of the Canberra Laboratories of NICTA, home to 150 researchers and PhD students.

Professor Stephen M. Walt, Harvard University

Stephen M. Walt

Stephen M. Walt is the Robert and Renee Belfer Professor of International Affairs. He previously taught at Princeton University and the University of Chicago, where he served as Master of the Social Science Collegiate Division and Deputy Dean of Social Sciences. He has been a Resident Associate of the Carnegie Endowment for Peace and a Guest Scholar at the Brookings Institution, and he has also served as a consultant for the Institute of Defense Analyses, the Center for Naval Analyses, and the National Defense University. He presently serves on the editorial boards of Foreign Policy, Security Studies, International Theory, International Relations, and Journal of Cold War Studies, and he also serves as Co-Editor of the Cornell Studies in Security Affairs, published by Cornell University Press. Additionally, he was elected as a Fellow in the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in May 2005. His book The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy (Farrar, Straus & Giroux, 2007, co-authored with John J. Mearsheimer) was a New York Times best seller and has been translated into more than twenty foreign languages. His most recent book is The Hell of Good Intentions: America’s Foreign Policy Elite and the Decline of U.S. Primacy (Farrar, Straus & Giroux, 2018).


Chief Investigator, Professor Toni Erskine
Director, Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs

Project Research Officer, Emily Hitchman
Project Research Officer, Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs

Postal address

Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs
Hedley Bull Building
130 Garran Road
The Australian National University, Acton ACT 2600 Australia

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