India to profit from the war in Ukraine and the Russia-China Joint Statement
The China-Russia Joint Statement of 4 February, which stressed that there were “no limits” to the two states’ friendship, formalised the decade-old strategic relationship between the two countries. This landmark document, coupled with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, confirmed that China and Russia are determined to end the international liberal order.
These developments have had global political and economic repercussions, especially in South Asia. India has been particularly conflicted between its long-standing strategic relationship with Russia and its membership of the Quad, an Indo-Pacific security grouping which has become increasingly important in the face of China’s aggressive behaviour. The US and its allies are keen to peel New Delhi away from Moscow and anchor it firmly in the Western camp. However, India’s “strategic autonomy” may well prevent it from cutting all ties with Russia—at least for the moment. The EU and NATO must continue to deepen their engagement in the Indo-Pacific.
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Dr Claude Rakisits is a Visiting Fellow at the Centre for Security, Diplomacy and Strategy (CSDS) of the Brussels School of Governance. He’s also an Honorary Associate Professor in the Department of International Relations at the Australian National University in Canberra; an Honorary Associate Professor in Strategy at Deakin University, Melbourne; and an Associate at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service.